25 Jul · 07:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TP
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1415
FormWWWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Piotrowski
AS
🇵🇱Artur Szoltysek
ELO 1372
FormWLLLL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Piotrowski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+43
H2H27-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+43)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-23)