25 Jul · 07:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1459
FormLLLLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Baron
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1349
FormLWLLL
62%
38%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kaczmarek🌟Baron rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (46)
Fair odds · Baron
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~79 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+110
H2H16-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+110)