25 Jul · 07:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MM
🇵🇱Mateusz Misiak
ELO 1373
FormLLWLW
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Kosmal
DK
🇵🇱Dawid Kosmal
ELO 1560
FormWLWWW
30%
70%
Fair odds · Kosmal
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~76 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+187
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+187)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)