25 Jul · 08:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DM
🇵🇱Daniel Morawiec
ELO 1483
FormLWLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Morawiec
RW
🇵🇱Rafal Wojcik
ELO 1418
FormWLWLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Morawiec
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~81 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+65
H2H27-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-15)