25 Jul · 08:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MZ
🇵🇱Mariusz Zwolinski
ELO 1275
FormLLLWW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Piotrowski
TP
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1406
FormLWWWL
36%
64%
Fair odds · Piotrowski
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 76% · 1.32· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~77 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+131
H2H32-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+131)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (32-8)