25 Jul · 08:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DK
🇵🇱Dawid Kosmal
ELO 1570
FormWWWLW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Kosmal
DW
🇵🇱Dariusz Wrobel
ELO 1392
FormWLLLW
69%
31%
Fair odds · Kosmal
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~75 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+178
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+178)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)