25 Jul · 08:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ML
🇵🇱Marcin Lach
ELO 1635
FormWLWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Lach
WP
🇵🇱Wojciech Pytlas
ELO 1556
FormWWWLW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Lach
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 53% · 1.90· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+79
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+79)