25 Jul · 09:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1439
FormWWLLW
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Lach
ML
🇵🇱Marcin Lach
ELO 1635
FormWLWWW
30%
70%
🌟Urban goes over total as underdog 67% (18)
Fair odds · Lach
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 71% · 1.40· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~77 pts
0-3
30%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+196
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+196)