25 Jul · 09:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RW
🇵🇱Rafal Wojcik
ELO 1418
FormWLWLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Szostok
SS
🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok
ELO 1559
FormLWLWW
35%
65%
Fair odds · Szostok
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~79 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+141
H2H8-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+141)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-4)