25 Jul · 10:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1458
FormLWLLL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Lach
ML
🇵🇱Marcin Lach
ELO 1640
FormWWLWW
31%
69%
🌟Baron covers set handicap as underdog 64% (36)
Fair odds · Lach
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~78 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+182
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+182)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)