25 Jul · 09:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WP
🇵🇱Wojciech Pytlas
ELO 1551
FormLWWWL
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Pytlas
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1344
FormLLWLL
71%
29%
🌟Kaczmarek covers set handicap as underdog 66% (29)
Fair odds · Pytlas
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 74% · 1.34· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~75 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+207
H2H7-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+207)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)