25 Jul · 10:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DW
🇵🇱Dariusz Wrobel
ELO 1390
FormLLWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Malinowski
RM
🇵🇱Radoslaw Malinowski
ELO 1430
FormLLLWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Malinowski
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+40
H2H8-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.