25 Jul · 10:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SK
🇵🇱Sebastian Krupa
ELO 1492
FormWLLWL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Krupa
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1344
FormLLWLL
66%
34%
🌟Kaczmarek covers set handicap as underdog 66% (29)
Fair odds · Krupa
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 75% · 1.34· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~77 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+148
H2H12-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+148)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-3)