25 Jul · 10:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PJ
🇵🇱Patryk Jedrzejak
ELO 1649
FormWWWLL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Jedrzejak
DM
🇵🇱Daniel Morawiec
ELO 1485
FormWLWLL
67%
33%
Fair odds · Jedrzejak
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 68% · 1.48· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~80 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+164
H2H34-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+164)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (34-18)