25 Jul · 09:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RM
🇵🇱Radoslaw Malinowski
ELO 1430
FormLLLWW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Kosmal
DK
🇵🇱Dawid Kosmal
ELO 1574
FormWWWWL
35%
65%
Fair odds · Kosmal
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~75 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+144
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+144)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)