Jerzy Pelka vs Daniel Morawiec — TT Elite Series

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25 Jul · 09:05 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Jerzy Pelka

ELO 1501

3-1Final setsPelka won

🇵🇱Daniel Morawiec

ELO 1469

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Pelka at 53%. The actual result was Jerzy Pelka 3-1 — the pick was correct.

Jerzy Pelka — profile →Daniel Morawiec — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Daniel Morawiec favoured — closing 1.8

Upset

Total 81.5

82 points played

Over

Set handicap

Daniel Morawiec −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Daniel Morawiec −0.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-1 at close

5.7

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jerzy Pelka is favoured to win, below means Daniel Morawiec.

▲ Jerzy Pelkapre 57% → final 90%

Daniel Morawiec ▼

Biggest swing 51 pts72 points · 4 games