25 Jul · 11:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JR
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1297
FormLLWWL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Piotrowski
TP
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1417
FormWWLWW
37%
63%
🌟Rolak covers set handicap as underdog 82% (28)
Fair odds · Piotrowski
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~78 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
15%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+120
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+120)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)