25 Jul · 11:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RA
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1398
FormLWLLW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Szostok
SS
🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok
ELO 1570
FormWWLWL
32%
68%
Fair odds · Szostok
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 68% · 1.46· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~77 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+172
H2H5-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+172)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-0)