25 Jul · 12:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JP
🇵🇱Jerzy Pelka
ELO 1501
FormWLLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Pelka
RW
🇵🇱Rafal Wojcik
ELO 1421
FormWLLWL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Pelka
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 59% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+80
H2H1-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)