25 Jul · 13:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PJ
🇵🇱Patryk Jedrzejak
ELO 1651
FormWWWWL
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Jedrzejak
RA
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1398
FormLWLLW
75%
25%
Fair odds · Jedrzejak
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~74 pts
3-0
32%
3-1
27%
3-2
16%
2-3
10%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+253
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+253)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)