25 Jul · 12:40 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DM
🇵🇱Daniel Morawiec
ELO 1469
FormLLLWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Szostok
SS
🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok
ELO 1570
FormWWLWL
39%
61%
Fair odds · Szostok
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~82 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
3-1
15%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+101
H2H11-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+101)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-10)