25 Jul · 12:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AS
🇵🇱Artur Szoltysek
ELO 1372
FormWLWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Szoltysek
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1302
FormLWLWL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Szoltysek
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~79 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+70
H2H4-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-3)