25 Jul · 17:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Maszczynski
ELO 1263
FormLLLWL
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Kocik
TK
🇵🇱Tomasz Kocik
ELO 1512
FormWLWLW
25%
75%
Fair odds · Kocik
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 79% · 1.27· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~76 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
27%
2-3
16%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+249
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+249)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)