25 Jul · 13:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JP
🇵🇱Jerzy Pelka
ELO 1492
FormLWLLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Pelka
RA
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1393
FormLLWLL
61%
39%
Fair odds · Pelka
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
1-3
15%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+99
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+99)