25 Jul · 13:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AW
🇵🇱Alan Wos
ELO 1554
FormWLWWW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Wos
BK
🇵🇱Bartosz Kwodawski
ELO 1382
FormLLLLL
68%
32%
Fair odds · Wos
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 60% · 1.66· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~77 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+172
H2H4-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+172)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-3)