25 Jul · 17:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
FM
🇵🇱Filip Mlynarski
ELO 1692
FormLLLWL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Mlynarski
AW
🇵🇱Alan Wos
ELO 1554
FormWLWWW
65%
35%
Fair odds · Mlynarski
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~77 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+138
H2H8-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+138)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-1)