25 Jul · 14:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DM
🇵🇱Daniel Morawiec
ELO 1480
FormWLLLW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Jedrzejak
PJ
🇵🇱Patryk Jedrzejak
ELO 1658
FormWWWWW
31%
69%
Fair odds · Jedrzejak
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 50% · 1.98· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~80 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+178
H2H35-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+178)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (35-18)