25 Jul · 14:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RW
🇵🇱Rafal Wojcik
ELO 1436
FormWWLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Pelka
JP
🇵🇱Jerzy Pelka
ELO 1492
FormLWLLW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Pelka
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+56
H2H1-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)