25 Jul · 14:40 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JR
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1300
FormLWLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Misiak
MM
🇵🇱Mateusz Misiak
ELO 1389
FormLWLWW
40%
60%
🌟Rolak covers set handicap as underdog 82% (28)
Fair odds · Misiak
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 71% · 1.40· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~79 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+89
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)