25 Jul · 14:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RM
🇵🇱Radoslaw Malinowski
ELO 1425
FormLLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Malinowski
BK
🇵🇱Bartosz Kwodawski
ELO 1382
FormLLLLL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Malinowski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+43
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+43)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)