25 Jul · 15:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DM
🇵🇱Daniel Morawiec
ELO 1480
FormWLLLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Morawiec
RA
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1390
FormLLLWL
60%
40%
Fair odds · Morawiec
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~80 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+90
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+90)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)