25 Jul · 15:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
TP
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1429
FormWWWWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Piotrowski
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1314
FormWWLWL
62%
38%
Fair odds · Piotrowski
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~79 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+115
H2H23-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+115)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-5)