25 Jul · 16:15 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
BK
🇵🇱Bartosz Kwodawski
ELO 1370
FormLLLLL
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Kosmal
DK
🇵🇱Dawid Kosmal
ELO 1590
FormWLWWW
27%
73%
Fair odds · Kosmal
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~74 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+220
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+220)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)