25 Jul · 16:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MZ
🇵🇱Mariusz Zwolinski
ELO 1276
FormWLLWL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Piotrowski
TP
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1427
FormWLWWW
34%
66%
Fair odds · Piotrowski
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~77 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+151
H2H33-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+151)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (33-8)