25 Jul · 17:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RW
🇵🇱Rafal Wojcik
ELO 1421
FormLLWWL
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Jedrzejak
PJ
🇵🇱Patryk Jedrzejak
ELO 1652
FormWLWWW
26%
74%
Fair odds · Jedrzejak
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~76 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
27%
2-3
15%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+231
H2H33-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+231)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (33-6)