25 Jul · 18:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JP
🇵🇱Jerzy Pelka
ELO 1495
FormLLWWL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Jedrzejak
PJ
🇵🇱Patryk Jedrzejak
ELO 1656
FormWWLWW
33%
67%
Fair odds · Jedrzejak
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 31% · 3.22· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~76 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+161
H2H4-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+161)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-3)