25 Jul · 19:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RW
🇵🇱Rafal Wojcik
ELO 1421
FormLLWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Wojcik
RA
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1374
FormLLLLL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Wojcik
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 67% · 1.48· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+47
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+47)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)