25 Jul · 18:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DM
🇵🇱Daniel Morawiec
ELO 1511
FormWWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Szostok
SS
🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok
ELO 1553
FormWLLLW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Szostok
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~82 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+42
H2H11-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+42)