25 Jul · 19:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BK
🇵🇱Bartosz Kwodawski
ELO 1359
FormLLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Sulkowski
BS
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1398
FormWWLLL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Sulkowski
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 69% · 1.44· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+39
H2H6-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.