25 Jul · 19:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KK
🇵🇱Kacper Kwiatkowski
ELO 1368
FormLLWLL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Skorupa
JS
🇵🇱Jakub Skorupa
ELO 1522
FormLWWLW
34%
66%
🌟Skorupa goes over total as favourite 62% (32)
Fair odds · Skorupa
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~76 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+154
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+154)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)