25 Jul · 20:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MW
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1668
FormWLWWW
79%Win chancemodel fair 1.27Warzecha
KK
🇵🇱Kacper Kwiatkowski
ELO 1365
FormLLLWL
79%
21%
Fair odds · Warzecha
Model 79% · 1.27vsMarket 73% · 1.38· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 63%Total ~74 pts
3-0
34%
3-1
29%
3-2
16%
2-3
9%
1-3
8%
Elo Gap+303
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+303)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)