25 Jul · 19:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DP
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1301
FormLLWLL
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Filbrandt
TF
🇵🇱Tomasz Filbrandt
ELO 1557
FormLWLLL
24%
76%
🔥 Underdog lean · Poloszczanski🌟Filbrandt rarely covers set handicap as favourite 28% (25)
Fair odds · Filbrandt
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 84% · 1.19· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~75 pts
0-3
33%
1-3
27%
2-3
16%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+256
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+256)