25 Jul · 19:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JO
🇵🇱Jacek Oracz
ELO 1671
FormLWWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Oracz
MG
🇵🇱Michal Guzik
ELO 1623
FormLWWWW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 50% · 2.02· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+48
H2H1-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+48)