25 Jul · 22:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JO
🇵🇱Jacek Oracz
ELO 1678
FormWWLWW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Oracz
MM
🇵🇱Michal Machelski
ELO 1503
FormLLWWL
68%
32%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~75 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+175
H2H38-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+175)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (38-5)