25 Jul · 22:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RW
🇵🇱Roman Wiza
ELO 1336
FormLLLWW
85%Win chancemodel fair 1.18Durda
MD
🇵🇱Michal Durda
ELO 1723
FormLWWWW
15%
85%
Fair odds · Durda
Model 85% · 1.18vsMarket 81% · 1.23· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 72%Total ~74 pts
0-3
42%
1-3
30%
2-3
13%
3-2
7%
3-1
5%
Elo Gap+387
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+387)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)