25 Jul · 22:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DP
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1294
FormLLLLW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Stapor
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1458
FormLWWWL
33%
67%
🌟Stapor goes over total as favourite 66% (32)
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~76 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+164
H2H10-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+164)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-1)