25 Jul · 23:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RS
🇵🇱Robert Szymik
ELO 1471
FormLWLWW
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Durda
MD
🇵🇱Michal Durda
ELO 1723
FormWLWWW
25%
75%
Fair odds · Durda
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 69% · 1.44· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~75 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
27%
2-3
16%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+252
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+252)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)