25 Jul · 22:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DF
🇵🇱Damian Fira
ELO 1398
FormLLWLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Durak
KD
🇵🇱Kamil Durak
ELO 1538
FormWWLWW
35%
65%
Fair odds · Durak
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~77 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+140
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+140)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)