25 Jul · 23:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MM
🇵🇱Michal Machelski
ELO 1514
FormWLLWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Guzik
MG
🇵🇱Michal Guzik
ELO 1619
FormWLLWW
39%
61%
Fair odds · Guzik
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~75 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+105
H2H0-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+105)