26 Jul · 00:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KK
🇵🇱Kacper Kwiatkowski
ELO 1361
FormLLLWL
80%Win chancemodel fair 1.25Warzecha
MW
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1681
FormWWWWL
20%
80%
Fair odds · Warzecha
Model 80% · 1.25vsMarket 77% · 1.30· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 68%Total ~72 pts
0-3
40%
1-3
28%
2-3
12%
3-2
9%
3-1
7%
Elo Gap+320
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+320)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)